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 New Posts  House Price Crash!
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Frenzy
Posts: 11403
Frenzy
   Old Thread  #96 17 Jul 2022 at 8.57am  0  Login    Register
In reply to Post #87
bought my house for £665K five years ago, admittedly we've done alot of work to it, added stables to the field also. now valued at £1.6 million.

dont care if its worth 10 mill, i'll never flog it, all monopoly money unless you buy to sell or down size
tazi
Posts: 4813
tazi
   Old Thread  #87 12 May 2022 at 3.14pm  0  Login    Register
In reply to Post #80
£3.54p for 8pints of harp before heading off to Harold Clowes disco at the grand old age of 13.
clicky
Posts: 9536
clicky
   Old Thread  #85 26 Apr 2022 at 7.02pm  0  Login    Register
In reply to Post #71
same year I bought mine in Essex, end terrace with the land beside(sadly what I cant build extension on) I paid 71k now worth around 380k..obviously I've done work on it and will maybe do more. (loft.) which won't put value up but I don't intend moving .. BUT...since covid a loft extension in my area has rose from around 28k to over 50k. so what do ya do? if its ya for ever home spend on it or sit back and wait? sit back for what, material prices to come down, builders prices to come down...Aint going to happen..
JasonM
Posts: 1524
JasonM
   Old Thread  #80 28 Mar 2022 at 8.27pm  0  Login    Register
In reply to Post #79
I remember when beer was less than a £1 a pint.

When some think back to their youth on here their memories are in black and white 😀

Everything is relative.
sundance
Posts: 6761
sundance
   Old Thread  #79 28 Mar 2022 at 4.12pm  1  Login    Register
In reply to Post #77
Probably would have been about 120 here
But now are at 550.
carpstar40
Posts: 3704
carpstar40
   Old Thread  #77 28 Mar 2022 at 8.05am  0  Login    Register
In reply to Post #76
Three bed semi detached in Hereford about average at the time.
sundance
Posts: 6761
sundance
   Old Thread  #76 27 Mar 2022 at 9.00am  0  Login    Register
In reply to Post #71
Blimey that's cheap. Up.north?
tazi
Posts: 4813
tazi
   Old Thread  #73 26 Mar 2022 at 4.12pm  0  Login    Register
A chap that I used to work with after going through the card on the itv 6 at Haydock park many moons ago brought his house cash the lucky beggar.
carpstar40
Posts: 3704
carpstar40
   Old Thread  #71 25 Mar 2022 at 10.59am  0  Login    Register
It can do what it likes I bought mine in 1997 for £89'000 mortgage finished last year and was valued at £325'000 a month ago.
Bristolsaint40
Posts: 236
Bristolsaint40
   Old Thread  #70 25 Mar 2022 at 10.54am  0  Login    Register
In reply to Post #1
I won't be asking you for the winning lottery numbers or what stocks to invest in,

Bought my 6 bed August 2019 for £242k, 3 doors down now on for £335k.

Probably me more prudent to talk about a crash now, I've just fixed for 5 yrs on the advice of a financial advisor I know as interest rates are going to go shooting up this year with inflation climbing so quickly.

alemac1
Posts: 159
alemac1
   Old Thread  #66 2 Feb 2022 at 4.17pm  1  Login    Register
In reply to Post #8
this aged well
tazi
Posts: 4813
tazi
   Old Thread  #60 22 Dec 2021 at 1.22am  0  Login    Register
In reply to Post #58
Sussexcarper93
Posts: 279
   Old Thread  #59 21 Dec 2021 at 11.25pm  0  Login    Register
In reply to Post #58
Stamp duty holiday was the main driving factor which skews the forecasts imo
Tinhead
Posts: 16822
Tinhead
   Old Thread  #58 21 Dec 2021 at 10.56pm  0  Login    Register
In reply to Post #57
Yes but that wasn't anything to do with market forces.
So it seems the original prediction was way off which brings me to the conclusion.
Whatever the subject matter don't listen to the 'experts' on this forum
tazi
Posts: 4813
tazi
   Old Thread  #57 21 Dec 2021 at 10.15pm  0  Login    Register
I know of one that certainly crashed.....
Sussexcarper93
Posts: 279
   Old Thread  #56 21 Dec 2021 at 8.41pm  0  Login    Register
In reply to Post #54
I bought a house in February 2021 and it’s worth £50k more than what I paid (identical house opposite sold a couple of weeks back).

The house I bought in 2018 that I now rent out, we had it valued to go through for a BTL mortgage and they valued it at £120k more than I bought it for. West Sussex prices are ridiculous!
wandle1
Posts: 7276
wandle1
   Old Thread  #55 21 Dec 2021 at 7.37pm  0  Login    Register
Someone I've known for 40 yrs has sold up ,and moved to Aberdeen, Scotland..bought a field ,lives in a caravan ,mind you horses are their lives,so...over 150 years of history went with them ,several generations of builders and farming experience, all that remains is the families headstones..

The reason they have moved is in my mates words..

Welcome to Theme Park Kernow...make of that what you can ..
Tinhead
Posts: 16822
Tinhead
   Old Thread  #54 21 Dec 2021 at 6.54pm  0  Login    Register
In reply to Post #1
I don't follow house prices. Did this prediction come true?
Posts: 1
   Old Thread  #53 21 Dec 2021 at 4.58pm  0  Login    Register
In reply to Post #52
Well, in times of the COVID-19 pandemic lockdown, the property costs raised in the high value. I'm not familiar with the reasons, but the fact is, the property cost before the COVID-19 pandemic was lower by 20% by official statistics in my region. Hopefully, I made a good mortgage contract before the pandemic happened. Big thanks to the Mortgage Advice London service that helped me deal with banks and property owners and make good mortgage conditions for me.
Darkieallard
Posts: 4851
   Old Thread  #52 13 Aug 2020 at 11.09pm  0  Login    Register
House prices around me Lowestoft, Suffolk seem to be at the all time high at the moment.

House next door too me sold within 3 days for 10k over the asking fee.

jeffire
Posts: 4372
jeffire
   Old Thread  #51 13 Aug 2020 at 4.53pm  0  Login    Register
In reply to Post #48
Thats true we bought our new house in scotland may 2019 had it valued 2 weeks ago £40,000 more than what we paid . Swings and roundabouts.
SPINBOWLER
Posts: 1418
SPINBOWLER
   Old Thread  #50 12 Aug 2020 at 11.39pm  0  Login    Register
In reply to Post #49
Absolutely no chance of that happening except for a very very few lenders.
Wayne
Posts: 18687
Wayne
   Old Thread  #49 11 Aug 2020 at 5.46pm  0  Login    Register
I bought / sold in November 2018 and my new house is now £75k more than then After spending 20k.........as already mentioned it’s the mortgages being offered going through that’s the problem! I’m hearing it will be 25% deposit minimum for future mortgages......
Greekskii
Posts: 3289
Greekskii
   Old Thread  #48 11 Aug 2020 at 5.27pm  0  Login    Register
Scotland houses are being bought up very quickly. My boss went to house hunt last week. 18 house viewings, all SSTC the day before the viewings!! All for 40+k over asking. Turned in to silent auctions pretty much with a deadline for offers.
Estate agents told her many are relocating from the Home Counties, getting more for their money now they’ve figured out they can work from home 90% of the time.
jeffire
Posts: 4372
jeffire
   Old Thread  #47 11 Aug 2020 at 5.14pm  0  Login    Register
Mine finally went through last week , it all depends where you live and price bracket your house falls into , definately not a sellers market in west lancs !!! Banks are pulling mortgage offers as people continue to lose jobs , the next lockdown will see the housing market crumble .
Shadow
Posts: 1006
Shadow
   Old Thread  #46 11 Aug 2020 at 3.13pm  0  Login    Register
In reply to Post #45
Let’s see if the sold houses complete when buyers try get there mortgages approved.

Lenders are really tightening up on how much deposit is required and people’s employment status.

Very uncharted at the moment.
Not
Posts: 181
   Old Thread  #45 11 Aug 2020 at 2.11pm  0  Login    Register
In reply to Post #44
House prices up, 'offers' up 300% upon average, stamp duty holiday, low interest rates, FOMO...

It's a seller mkt now.
stuart666
Posts: 4507
stuart666
   Old Thread  #44 28 Jun 2020 at 3.10pm  0  Login    Register
In reply to Post #39
Definitely not crumbling where i live in the north. I have a friend who owns a large chain of estate agents next to me and he said on average prices have went up 1.9% on prices pre lockdown. We are only 200 yards from the northumberland coastline and due to the lockdown and people being stuck in there house in town centres it has pushed the price of houses up that are within walking distance of the coast line.
Tinhead
Posts: 16822
Tinhead
   Old Thread  #43 26 Jun 2020 at 7.21pm  0  Login    Register
In reply to Post #42
I can check but I think you can do it increments of 10% of what you owe the government
TBH it's probably a non starter the house price would be probably have to take a complete nose dive to make it worthwhile?
Wayne
Posts: 18687
Wayne
   Old Thread  #42 26 Jun 2020 at 5.31pm  0  Login    Register
In reply to Post #38
Bob she might want to check but I’m sure you Can only Pay off in full or nothing at all......
Tinhead
Posts: 16822
Tinhead
   Old Thread  #41 26 Jun 2020 at 5.18pm  0  Login    Register
In reply to Post #40

does she need a valuation to pay off some of the money

I think that's what she said you pay around £100 for it. The government owns 20% of the place so if the value has gone down so will the amount she owes the government.
Not saying that's right just the way I understood it
mal
Posts: 8986
mal
   Old Thread  #40 26 Jun 2020 at 3.55pm  0  Login    Register
In reply to Post #38
it's very much a buyers market at the minute I think.

does she need a valuation to pay off some of the money? i'd have thought that if she has some cash to do it, then she'd be able to go ahead without. If it's anything like mine it'll just depress her!

Jeff could be right - a regional thing. I'd be surprised if there aren't some people in negative equity already if they bought just before lockdown...
jeffire
Posts: 4372
jeffire
   Old Thread  #39 26 Jun 2020 at 3.47pm  0  Login    Register
In reply to Post #33
He,s very lucky , must be down south cause its crumbling up north
Tinhead
Posts: 16822
Tinhead
   Old Thread  #38 26 Jun 2020 at 3.44pm  0  Login    Register
In reply to Post #36
My daughter is on a help to buy scheme. She's thinking of getting a valuation and then paying some of the money she owes to the government.
Obviously she needs to have spare money but does that sound a good idea?
Not
Posts: 181
   Old Thread  #37 26 Jun 2020 at 3.07pm  0  Login    Register
In reply to Post #34
House price crash will be offset by the demand for houses with gardens in the UK since coronavirus lockdown.

However! due to the negative bond rates (US 10 year note) that flashed in April 2019 and the derivatives associated with the credit mkt - I wouldn't be surprised to see a credit problem come October this year...however again.. the QE may have staved off this with the massive repo injections (overnight lending) and helicopter money.

If the helicopter money and QE doesnt get the money velocity up (the speed in which it chnages hand to create credit) then deflationary laws point down. Basically there is a higher chance of a crash but not just yet.
Fisher
Posts: 1318
Fisher
   Old Thread  #36 22 Jun 2020 at 10.29pm  0  Login    Register
In reply to Post #35
I'm based in SW London and a neighbour recently had their property valued at £25k (circa 6%) lower than what they had purchased it for 3 years ago. Given the property prices trends over the last 3 years, a 6% reduction in the value of the property seems huge! I think for a lot of people on the Help to Buy Schemes, the deal will not end up being such a good deal either. Whilst the loan amount to be repaid is based on the sale price, buyers end up with less equity if prices fall which makes upsizing more difficult (especially if established properties...i.e. not new-builds, fair better in their prices...which is what evidence suggests). There's that small issue of over 9m workers being furloughed too. Even with some fairly basic assumptions around job losses and debt service, plus all the other compounding factors, it seems at least reasonable to think that the 'house price correction' which people have been speculating about for years, could finally happen.

mal
Posts: 8986
mal
   Old Thread  #35 22 Jun 2020 at 10.34am  0  Login    Register
In reply to Post #32
I think you are a lucky exception to the current trend there...

Just had a valuation for a remortgage and it's come back a LOT lower than my previous valuation. That's three years of natural house price growth since my last remortgage completely wiped out and a valuation that is £7500 less than 3 years back.

Not a good time ahead for the house sellers I think.

Big clanger, if you can get me £10000 more for mine I'll happily give you 10 % commission on that extra!
stuart666
Posts: 4507
stuart666
   Old Thread  #34 22 Jun 2020 at 9.09am  0  Login    Register
In reply to Post #31
All depends where you live. Some go up some go down. Its all about location. The rental market is crazy these days. When my last tennant moved out the new one was waiting outside in the street for the keys so they could move straight in. There was also about 10 other people who wanted to rent it.
SUNNYMEAD
Posts: 1236
SUNNYMEAD
   Old Thread  #33 22 Jun 2020 at 3.32am  0  Login    Register
In reply to Post #31
And your response to bigclanger is.....


bigclanger
Posts: 2941
bigclanger
   Old Thread  #32 21 Jun 2020 at 5.09pm  0  Login    Register
Just sold a 2 bed apartment £10,000 over asking only been on the market since end of May
jeffire
Posts: 4372
jeffire
   Old Thread  #31 20 Jun 2020 at 10.41pm  0  Login    Register
In reply to Post #29
Total rubbish , mine has dropped £15,000 in the last 3 months
Tinhead
Posts: 16822
Tinhead
   Old Thread  #30 20 Jun 2020 at 8.53pm  0  Login    Register
In reply to Post #29
Was that a official company statement or some bloke who hasn't made a sale in a while and wants to frighten others into buying something
SUNNYMEAD
Posts: 1236
SUNNYMEAD
   Old Thread  #29 20 Jun 2020 at 8.50pm  0  Login    Register
Rightmove reckon house prices have increased by an average of 6k since covid started,I've no idea if this is true
stuart666
Posts: 4507
stuart666
   Old Thread  #28 20 Jun 2020 at 4.20pm  0  Login    Register
In reply to Post #19
I live up north, tynemouth to be precise on the northumberland coast line and my house on average has went up around £1000 a month since i bought it 3 years ago. It all depends where abouts in the north you buy but it has not affected house prices where I am. There are some very cheap houses in the north but there further down south from me ie Middlesborough. Ive got 3 other houses two which i rent out and a holiday home in keswick in the lake district which i dont rent as we use it all the time which isnt a very good financial move as i could get in a week from it for what i get a month from each of the other houses i rent but money isnt everything. All the new tax increases that are now in for landlords makes it a lot harder to make good money from it now and you will make next to nothing if your paying top dollar for a house you want to rent out, it will only really be good as investment for when you retire. The only reason I do ok is that i don't have a mortgage on any of them so its all profit as no mortgage to pay, we just have the tax on the revenue from them and the landlord insurance.
Tinhead
Posts: 16822
Tinhead
   Old Thread  #27 19 Jun 2020 at 9.34am  0  Login    Register
In reply to Post #26

Still 13% down on pre lockdown but retail sales in May up 42% from previous month.
There's bound to be some causalities but let's hope for a continued upturn
DenzelLN
Posts: 331
   Old Thread  #26 19 Jun 2020 at 9.15am  0  Login    Register
In reply to Post #12
I agree...financial armageddon is all but certain in my eyes.

nine0six
Posts: 2755
nine0six
   Old Thread  #25 18 Jun 2020 at 5.34pm  0  Login    Register
In reply to Post #24
Bloody capitalists.
Tinhead
Posts: 16822
Tinhead
   Old Thread  #24 18 Jun 2020 at 1.46pm  0  Login    Register
In reply to Post #23
Might guess is whatever the amount you reduce the VAT the companies will put their prices up by a corresponding amount
nine0six
Posts: 2755
nine0six
   Old Thread  #23 18 Jun 2020 at 12.37pm  0  Login    Register
Another £100bn of QE, total now of £745bn.

Is it possible that VAT could be reduced to encourage spending?
wingnutt
Posts: 3839
wingnutt
   Old Thread  #22 14 Jun 2020 at 1.49pm  0  Login    Register
In reply to Post #21
Yeah I heard he saved a few people money like that, fair play to him, but he was massively wrong about house prices and there was a thread that went on for about a year or so, pretty sure he even sold his house and rented banking on the crash so that he could clean up. He was also pretty rude to a lot of people that disagreed with him on it.
Long and short of it is that he’s dead right about it being a perfect storm, it the bottom line is that we are so overpopulated that I think the demand will almost certainly outstrip supply and prices will stagnate for years to come, no odds to me as I’ve got no mortgage on my house.
Wayne
Posts: 18687
Wayne
   Old Thread  #21 14 Jun 2020 at 11.01am  0  Login    Register
Stimpy saved me a fortune, took his advice and moved mortgage to a tracker 4 months before interest rates shifted.......
wingnutt
Posts: 3839
wingnutt
   Old Thread  #20 14 Jun 2020 at 9.44am  0  Login    Register
In reply to Post #1
Over 10yrs since Stimpy told us all there was gonna be the biggest house price crash ever he’s back saying it again, I said it wouldn’t happen last time and I’d be very surprised if it happened this time. Hope you’re well though Stimpy👍
Hitman
Posts: 9016
Hitman
   Old Thread  #19 13 Jun 2020 at 12.58pm  0  Login    Register
Yes we will have a reception but personally I don’t think it will be half as bad as before.

Last time the banks didn’t have much or any money this time they have its the government who’s lending the money.

Personally my mortgage is almost paid so I’m not really bothered but I was thinking of selling up next year and getting a bigger house maybe I could sell up and maybe buy not a house but a town up north
spanker
Posts: 1446
spanker
   Old Thread  #18 13 Jun 2020 at 12.08pm  0  Login    Register
In reply to Post #16

Or it should be , but you can get away with anything if you donate to the Tory party , or if Labour get in next time they will probably be the same under Starmer !
nine0six
Posts: 2755
nine0six
   Old Thread  #17 13 Jun 2020 at 11.46am  0  Login    Register
In reply to Post #12
- Absolutely no chance of quantitative easing.

They've already chucked £200 billion of QE into the mix, why do you think they won't do more?
Tinhead
Posts: 16822
Tinhead
   Old Thread  #16 13 Jun 2020 at 11.30am  0  Login    Register
In reply to Post #14
People buying property and leaving them empty. Criminal
spanker
Posts: 1446
spanker
   Old Thread  #15 13 Jun 2020 at 11.28am  0  Login    Register
In reply to Post #13

Burnley is the place , you could buy 2 instead of a new bicycle !
spanker
Posts: 1446
spanker
   Old Thread  #14 13 Jun 2020 at 11.26am  0  Login    Register
In reply to Post #11

I can envisage Boris's Russian friends expanding their property portfolios shortly .
Tinhead
Posts: 16822
Tinhead
   Old Thread  #13 13 Jun 2020 at 11.23am  0  Login    Register
I've always fancied myself as a property developer maybe I'll wait 6 months and buy a couple up north rather than buy a new car
Stimpson
Posts: 57
Stimpson
   Old Thread  #12 13 Jun 2020 at 11.16am  0  Login    Register
In reply to Post #9
- 1-2 million extra unemployed.

- Mass bankruptcies.

- No room to move on interest rates as occurred during the last financial crisis.

- Absolutely no chance of more quantitative easing.

- Rising VAT, income tax etc. to pay back the recent helicopter cash giveaway.

- End of furlough.

- Brexit.


Depending on your viewpoint, it's a perfect storm.
mal
Posts: 8986
mal
   Old Thread  #11 13 Jun 2020 at 11.15am  0  Login    Register
In reply to Post #10
crikey spanker - that's a bit mercenary!

unfortunately I think both you and the OP are true. We're about to go into one hell of a recession and a lot of people on furlough are sadly on borrowed time.

I wonder which of his houses Boris will have to sell?
spanker
Posts: 1446
spanker
   Old Thread  #10 13 Jun 2020 at 11.06am  0  Login    Register

My advice to anyone of thinking to buy a house now , DON'T ,wait six months ,when the furlough scheme ends there will be over 1 million to add to the unemployment figure maybe up to 3 million , a lot of people are going to loose their houses , sit tight for the moment !
Tinhead
Posts: 16822
Tinhead
   Old Thread  #9 13 Jun 2020 at 10.38am  0  Login    Register
In reply to Post #8
I understand what you're getting at now Paul

Why do you think it's going to take 6 months?
Stimpson
Posts: 57
Stimpson
   Old Thread  #8 13 Jun 2020 at 10.32am  0  Login    Register
Give it 6 months and we're gonna see a crash that no-one's seen the likes of before.

Be prepared...…...
bobcross
Posts: 205
bobcross
   Old Thread  #7 13 Jun 2020 at 9.15am  0  Login    Register
No crash around here. A great time to buy if you can.

LesT
Posts: 1240
LesT
   Old Thread  #6 13 Jun 2020 at 8.23am  0  Login    Register
In reply to Post #5
Not round where I live. Prices probably start to go up soon, once more people start viewing & buying. People always need some where to live us up size or down size.
Greekskii
Posts: 3289
Greekskii
   Old Thread  #5 12 Jun 2020 at 8.21pm  0  Login    Register
Not heard of a crash but I’m presuming there will be a dip at minimum. Great time for 1st time buyers for sure. But it’s all relative. If you’re house isn’t worth as much or even negative equity then you probably won’t sell unless it’s absolutely necessary. Less houses on the market and then guess what happens to the price on new builds? Doesn’t drop.
carping-chris
Posts: 940
carping-chris
   Old Thread  #4 12 Jun 2020 at 7.59pm  0  Login    Register
No crash round my way!!!
Wayne
Posts: 18687
Wayne
   Old Thread  #3 12 Jun 2020 at 6.59pm  0  Login    Register
When did this happen?? I haven’t heard of any crash?
Tinhead
Posts: 16822
Tinhead
   Old Thread  #2 12 Jun 2020 at 6.41pm  0  Login    Register
In reply to Post #1
If you're upsizing then I'd thought this was a great time to pick up a bargain.
Yes you'll get less for your present house then expected but your new more expensive one will be cheaper.
Also cheaper for 1st time buyers?

Just try to judge if the market is at it's lowest
Stimpson
Posts: 57
Stimpson
   Old Thread  #1 12 Jun 2020 at 6.17pm  0  Login    Register
You've either got to be incredibly rich or incredibly stupid to buy a house in the current climate......

Discuss...…..
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